National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$184,814 Обс.
$184,814 Обс.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$184,814 Обс.
$184,814 Обс.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$3,745 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$3,024 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$3,773 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$3,610 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$12,691 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$12,156 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$47,645 Обс.
Yes
78-79°F
$27,165 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$31,114 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$22,880 Обс.
No
84°F or higher
$17,013 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$184,814Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$184,814Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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