Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
32°C 38%
33°C or higher 36%
31°C 24%
30°C 4.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
24%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
36%
32°C 38%
33°C or higher 36%
31°C 24%
30°C 4.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
$568 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$560 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$441 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$237 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$204 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$325 Обс.
1%
29°C
$379 Обс.
1%
30°C
$1,244 Обс.
5%
31°C
$462 Обс.
24%
32°C
$647 Обс.
38%
33°C or higher
$1,337 Обс.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,403Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,403Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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