Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 1.9%
49°F or below <1%
$21,285 Обс.
$21,285 Обс.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
84%
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 1.9%
49°F or below <1%
$21,285 Обс.
$21,285 Обс.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$894 Обс.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,542 Обс.
<1%
52-53°F
$555 Обс.
<1%
54-55°F
$608 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,452 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,817 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,749 Обс.
2%
66-67°F
$2,352 Обс.
17%
68°F or higher
$2,172 Обс.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,285Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$21,285Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFORecent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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