Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 73%
24°C 22%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
НОВЕ
$69,469 Обс.
НОВЕ
$69,469 Обс.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
73%
25°C or higher 73%
24°C 22%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
НОВЕ
$69,469 Обс.
НОВЕ
$69,469 Обс.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$12,409 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$5,911 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$5,706 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$3,767 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$4,356 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$3,425 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$8,460 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$6,698 Обс.
1%
23°C
$6,160 Обс.
5%
24°C
$3,251 Обс.
22%
25°C or higher
$9,361 Обс.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$69,469Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$69,469Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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