Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a consensus peak temperature of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitional spring conditions before the summer monsoon. Steering patterns and modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies support this range, with limited potential for deviation unless an unexpected warm front strengthens. Traders monitor updated runs from official agencies for any shifts in maximum readings or wind influences that could tip probabilities toward 26°C or 28°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
$27,384 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,384 Обс.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
26%
27°C
38%
28°C
23%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
$27,384 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,384 Обс.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$869 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,052 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$3,788 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$3,310 Обс.
1%
25°C
$3,239 Обс.
9%
26°C
$3,257 Обс.
26%
27°C
$1,955 Обс.
38%
28°C
$1,752 Обс.
23%
29°C
$2,703 Обс.
9%
30°C
$2,395 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$3,076 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a consensus peak temperature of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitional spring conditions before the summer monsoon. Steering patterns and modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies support this range, with limited potential for deviation unless an unexpected warm front strengthens. Traders monitor updated runs from official agencies for any shifts in maximum readings or wind influences that could tip probabilities toward 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,384Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a consensus peak temperature of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitional spring conditions before the summer monsoon. Steering patterns and modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies support this range, with limited potential for deviation unless an unexpected warm front strengthens. Traders monitor updated runs from official agencies for any shifts in maximum readings or wind influences that could tip probabilities toward 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$27,384Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a consensus peak temperature of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitional spring conditions before the summer monsoon. Steering patterns and modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies support this range, with limited potential for deviation unless an unexpected warm front strengthens. Traders monitor updated runs from official agencies for any shifts in maximum readings or wind influences that could tip probabilities toward 26°C or 28°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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