Strong synoptic conditions have locked in trader consensus around a peak of 35 °C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is delivering clear skies, weak sea-breeze moderation, and strong daytime insolation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28 °C. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble guidance show this warming trend accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16. With the market now implying near-certainty, final afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact maximum before resolution; only an unexpected rapid change in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,681 Обс.
$74,681 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,681 Обс.
$74,681 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,510 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,780 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,332 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$4,369 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$4,230 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$8,955 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$7,971 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$9,135 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$17,270 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong synoptic conditions have locked in trader consensus around a peak of 35 °C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is delivering clear skies, weak sea-breeze moderation, and strong daytime insolation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28 °C. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble guidance show this warming trend accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16. With the market now implying near-certainty, final afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact maximum before resolution; only an unexpected rapid change in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$74,681Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong synoptic conditions have locked in trader consensus around a peak of 35 °C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is delivering clear skies, weak sea-breeze moderation, and strong daytime insolation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28 °C. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble guidance show this warming trend accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16. With the market now implying near-certainty, final afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact maximum before resolution; only an unexpected rapid change in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$74,681Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStrong synoptic conditions have locked in trader consensus around a peak of 35 °C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is delivering clear skies, weak sea-breeze moderation, and strong daytime insolation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28 °C. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble guidance show this warming trend accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16. With the market now implying near-certainty, final afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact maximum before resolution; only an unexpected rapid change in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання