Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles highlight a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that is driving intense daytime heating and minimal cloud cover across the Tel Aviv region on May 17. Clear skies combined with light winds are expected to limit sea-breeze moderation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the typical late-May climatological range of 26–28 °C and push the daily maximum into the 35 °C or higher threshold. This consensus among official guidance and ensemble runs underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an abrupt increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected convective development before peak heating could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$70,184 Обс.
$70,184 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$70,184 Обс.
$70,184 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,465 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,321 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$4,317 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$4,087 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$8,947 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$7,811 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$8,715 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$13,695 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles highlight a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that is driving intense daytime heating and minimal cloud cover across the Tel Aviv region on May 17. Clear skies combined with light winds are expected to limit sea-breeze moderation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the typical late-May climatological range of 26–28 °C and push the daily maximum into the 35 °C or higher threshold. This consensus among official guidance and ensemble runs underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an abrupt increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected convective development before peak heating could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$70,184Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles highlight a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that is driving intense daytime heating and minimal cloud cover across the Tel Aviv region on May 17. Clear skies combined with light winds are expected to limit sea-breeze moderation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the typical late-May climatological range of 26–28 °C and push the daily maximum into the 35 °C or higher threshold. This consensus among official guidance and ensemble runs underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an abrupt increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected convective development before peak heating could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$70,184Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles highlight a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that is driving intense daytime heating and minimal cloud cover across the Tel Aviv region on May 17. Clear skies combined with light winds are expected to limit sea-breeze moderation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the typical late-May climatological range of 26–28 °C and push the daily maximum into the 35 °C or higher threshold. This consensus among official guidance and ensemble runs underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an abrupt increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected convective development before peak heating could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання