Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
30°C 41%
31°C 31.8%
32°C or higher 17.8%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
$12,020 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,020 Обс.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
41%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
18%
30°C 41%
31°C 31.8%
32°C or higher 17.8%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
$12,020 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,020 Обс.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$983 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$624 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$641 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$605 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$602 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,188 Обс.
1%
28°C
$1,248 Обс.
3%
29°C
$1,527 Обс.
13%
30°C
$1,594 Обс.
41%
31°C
$2,112 Обс.
32%
32°C or higher
$896 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,020Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$12,020Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 41.0% and 31.8% for those exact outcomes. Regional atmospheric conditions, including a weak high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow, are expected to limit significant warming while Mediterranean sea breezes moderate coastal highs. Ensemble spread in these models reflects typical springtime variability in the eastern Mediterranean, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could push the daily peak across the 30–31°C threshold. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine resolution based on the highest recorded reading at the Tel Aviv station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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