Latest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that favors strong solar heating and limited cloud cover. This setup has shifted trader sentiment toward the 30°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, following cooler readings of 24–26°C earlier in the week and a sharp warm-up already underway on May 17. With climatological May highs averaging 26–28°C, the current pattern exceeds seasonal norms due to minimal sea-breeze moderation and subsidence aloft suppressing convective cooling. Updated model runs through tomorrow morning and real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
30°C 39%
31°C 26.4%
32°C or higher 16.8%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
39%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 39%
31°C 26.4%
32°C or higher 16.8%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$983 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$580 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$506 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$309 Обс.
1%
26°C
$557 Обс.
1%
27°C
$828 Обс.
1%
28°C
$983 Обс.
3%
29°C
$1,278 Обс.
12%
30°C
$1,084 Обс.
39%
31°C
$1,769 Обс.
26%
32°C or higher
$720 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that favors strong solar heating and limited cloud cover. This setup has shifted trader sentiment toward the 30°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, following cooler readings of 24–26°C earlier in the week and a sharp warm-up already underway on May 17. With climatological May highs averaging 26–28°C, the current pattern exceeds seasonal norms due to minimal sea-breeze moderation and subsidence aloft suppressing convective cooling. Updated model runs through tomorrow morning and real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,596Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that favors strong solar heating and limited cloud cover. This setup has shifted trader sentiment toward the 30°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, following cooler readings of 24–26°C earlier in the week and a sharp warm-up already underway on May 17. With climatological May highs averaging 26–28°C, the current pattern exceeds seasonal norms due to minimal sea-breeze moderation and subsidence aloft suppressing convective cooling. Updated model runs through tomorrow morning and real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$9,596Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that favors strong solar heating and limited cloud cover. This setup has shifted trader sentiment toward the 30°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, following cooler readings of 24–26°C earlier in the week and a sharp warm-up already underway on May 17. With climatological May highs averaging 26–28°C, the current pattern exceeds seasonal norms due to minimal sea-breeze moderation and subsidence aloft suppressing convective cooling. Updated model runs through tomorrow morning and real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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