Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 18?
26°C 50%
25°C 25%
24°C 11.1%
27°C 4%
НОВЕ
$21,842 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,842 Обс.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
25%
26°C
50%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
26°C 50%
25°C 25%
24°C 11.1%
27°C 4%
НОВЕ
$21,842 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,842 Обс.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$420 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$803 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$420 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$791 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,756 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5,147 Обс.
4%
24°C
$3,727 Обс.
16%
25°C
$2,251 Обс.
25%
26°C
$2,726 Обс.
50%
27°C
$2,040 Обс.
4%
28°C or higher
$1,810 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,842Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$21,842Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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