Recent forecast runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France show a mild, mostly cloudy day over Paris on May 18, with maximum temperatures centered around 16°C under a persistent westerly flow that limits daytime warming. This synoptic pattern, featuring Atlantic moisture and light winds, has kept the latest model consensus tightly clustered between 15–17°C, producing the market’s narrow spread with 16°C leading at 34 percent implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions so far this week reinforce trader focus on these mid-range outcomes, while any late-model shift toward clearer skies or stronger southerly flow remains the key variable that could push readings to 18°C or hold them near 15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 18?
16°C 35%
15°C 27%
17°C 21%
14°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
27%
16°C
35%
17°C
21%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 35%
15°C 27%
17°C 21%
14°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
$590 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$559 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$292 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$657 Обс.
1%
13°C
$175 Обс.
3%
14°C
$303 Обс.
10%
15°C
$266 Обс.
27%
16°C
$197 Обс.
35%
17°C
$183 Обс.
21%
18°C
$182 Обс.
5%
19°C or higher
$323 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France show a mild, mostly cloudy day over Paris on May 18, with maximum temperatures centered around 16°C under a persistent westerly flow that limits daytime warming. This synoptic pattern, featuring Atlantic moisture and light winds, has kept the latest model consensus tightly clustered between 15–17°C, producing the market’s narrow spread with 16°C leading at 34 percent implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions so far this week reinforce trader focus on these mid-range outcomes, while any late-model shift toward clearer skies or stronger southerly flow remains the key variable that could push readings to 18°C or hold them near 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,703Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France show a mild, mostly cloudy day over Paris on May 18, with maximum temperatures centered around 16°C under a persistent westerly flow that limits daytime warming. This synoptic pattern, featuring Atlantic moisture and light winds, has kept the latest model consensus tightly clustered between 15–17°C, producing the market’s narrow spread with 16°C leading at 34 percent implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions so far this week reinforce trader focus on these mid-range outcomes, while any late-model shift toward clearer skies or stronger southerly flow remains the key variable that could push readings to 18°C or hold them near 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,703Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France show a mild, mostly cloudy day over Paris on May 18, with maximum temperatures centered around 16°C under a persistent westerly flow that limits daytime warming. This synoptic pattern, featuring Atlantic moisture and light winds, has kept the latest model consensus tightly clustered between 15–17°C, producing the market’s narrow spread with 16°C leading at 34 percent implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions so far this week reinforce trader focus on these mid-range outcomes, while any late-model shift toward clearer skies or stronger southerly flow remains the key variable that could push readings to 18°C or hold them near 15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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