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icon for Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?
Світ·Зовнішня політика

Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?

icon for Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?
Світ·Зовнішня політика

Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?

8 37.5%

9 27.5%

10 11.3%

11 6.6%

Polymarket

$1,316,226 Обс.

8 37.5%

9 27.5%

10 11.3%

11 6.6%

Polymarket

$1,316,226 Обс.

icon for 8

8

$110,140 Обс.

38%

icon for 9

9

$19,153 Обс.

28%

icon for 10

10

$18,129 Обс.

11%

icon for 11

11

$19,021 Обс.

7%

icon for 12

12

$35,084 Обс.

6%

icon for 13

13

$86,947 Обс.

4%

icon for 14

14

$139,656 Обс.

3%

icon for 15+

15+

$121,942 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on 8 or 9 countries reflects the pace of U.S. military operations early in 2026, driven by the January intervention in Venezuela that captured its leadership and the late-February joint strikes with Israel targeting Iranian sites, which opened a new major theater. These actions, alongside sustained counterterrorism strikes in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Somalia, have already placed confirmed operations in at least six nations by mid-May. Potential further escalation in Africa or Latin America, including possible additional pressure on groups in Nigeria or Ecuador, supports upside to 9 or 10, while any de-escalation in the Middle East or limits on new engagements favor outcomes clustered at 8. The market pricing embeds the ongoing operational tempo across multiple regions without assuming further major conflicts.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,316,226
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on 8 or 9 countries reflects the pace of U.S. military operations early in 2026, driven by the January intervention in Venezuela that captured its leadership and the late-February joint strikes with Israel targeting Iranian sites, which opened a new major theater. These actions, alongside sustained counterterrorism strikes in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Somalia, have already placed confirmed operations in at least six nations by mid-May. Potential further escalation in Africa or Latin America, including possible additional pressure on groups in Nigeria or Ecuador, supports upside to 9 or 10, while any de-escalation in the Middle East or limits on new engagements favor outcomes clustered at 8. The market pricing embeds the ongoing operational tempo across multiple regions without assuming further major conflicts.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,316,226
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 16 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «8» з 38%, далі «9» з 28%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» згенерував $1.3 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?», перегляньте 16 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» — «8» з 38%. Наступний — «9» з 28%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.