Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic efforts since the April 2026 ceasefire have exposed deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear activities, with Iran rejecting full cessation of uranium enrichment and instead proposing only partial stockpile dilution or third-country transfers while demanding return guarantees and facility protections. Recent statements from Iranian officials and lawmakers have reaffirmed the right to enrichment, including warnings of potential increases to 90% purity amid renewed tensions, while US positions have evolved toward a possible 20-year moratorium but remain unmet. These stalled talks and limited concessions explain trader consensus favoring no agreement by the June 30 deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоІран погоджується припинити збагачення урану до 30 червня?
Іран погоджується припинити збагачення урану до 30 червня?
Так
$1,381,929 Обс.
$1,381,929 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Так
$1,381,929 Обс.
$1,381,929 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic efforts since the April 2026 ceasefire have exposed deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear activities, with Iran rejecting full cessation of uranium enrichment and instead proposing only partial stockpile dilution or third-country transfers while demanding return guarantees and facility protections. Recent statements from Iranian officials and lawmakers have reaffirmed the right to enrichment, including warnings of potential increases to 90% purity amid renewed tensions, while US positions have evolved toward a possible 20-year moratorium but remain unmet. These stalled talks and limited concessions explain trader consensus favoring no agreement by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,381,929Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic efforts since the April 2026 ceasefire have exposed deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear activities, with Iran rejecting full cessation of uranium enrichment and instead proposing only partial stockpile dilution or third-country transfers while demanding return guarantees and facility protections. Recent statements from Iranian officials and lawmakers have reaffirmed the right to enrichment, including warnings of potential increases to 90% purity amid renewed tensions, while US positions have evolved toward a possible 20-year moratorium but remain unmet. These stalled talks and limited concessions explain trader consensus favoring no agreement by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,381,929Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic efforts since the April 2026 ceasefire have exposed deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear activities, with Iran rejecting full cessation of uranium enrichment and instead proposing only partial stockpile dilution or third-country transfers while demanding return guarantees and facility protections. Recent statements from Iranian officials and lawmakers have reaffirmed the right to enrichment, including warnings of potential increases to 90% purity amid renewed tensions, while US positions have evolved toward a possible 20-year moratorium but remain unmet. These stalled talks and limited concessions explain trader consensus favoring no agreement by the June 30 deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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