Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$891,438 Обс.
May 31, 2026
May 31
31%
June 30
48%
$891,438 Обс.
May 31
$386,563 Обс.
31%
June 30
$9,629 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$891,438Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$891,438Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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