Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 31?
32°C or higher 78%
22°C or below 75%
26°C 50%
24°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
75%
23°C
20%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
78%
32°C or higher 78%
22°C or below 75%
26°C 50%
24°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$130 Обс.
75%
23°C
$0 Обс.
20%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
49%
26°C
$6 Обс.
29%
27°C
$0 Обс.
31%
28°C
$0 Обс.
25%
29°C
$0 Обс.
49%
30°C
$0 Обс.
2%
31°C
$0 Обс.
8%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow’s August 31 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal limits nighttime radiative cooling, favoring minima near 26–27 °C according to India Meteorological Department guidance. Variable steering winds and model spread in rainfall timing introduce uncertainty that supports elevated probabilities for both warmer (32 °C+) and cooler (22 °C or below) outcomes. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, so any reduction in cloud cover or rainfall on the 30th–31st could shift the low end lower, while continued overcast conditions would anchor readings higher. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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