Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 28?
21°C 100.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,951 Обс.
$1,951 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,951 Обс.
$1,951 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$152 Обс.
No
17°C
$185 Обс.
No
18°C
$79 Обс.
No
19°C
$67 Обс.
No
20°C
$109 Обс.
No
21°C
$364 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$310 Обс.
No
23°C
$116 Обс.
No
24°C
$295 Обс.
No
25°C
$114 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$159 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,951Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,951Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання