Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly tied because Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts list a minimum of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 amid scattered showers and persistent high humidity. Limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy skies and a weak steering flow keep temperatures from dropping further, while the urban heat island and recent monsoon moisture add slight upward bias. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of any convective cooling introduce enough uncertainty to split probability evenly between the two thresholds. Historical August minima in the region average near 23–24°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline yet remain sensitive to the next model update or observational adjustment before the daily low is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
24°C 48%
23°C 27%
25°C 18%
22°C 1.1%
$17,409 Обс.
$17,409 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
27%
24°C
48%
25°C
21%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 27%
25°C 18%
22°C 1.1%
$17,409 Обс.
$17,409 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$545 Обс.
1%
22°C
$850 Обс.
1%
23°C
$1,505 Обс.
27%
24°C
$2,999 Обс.
48%
25°C
$3,439 Обс.
21%
26°C
$3,704 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$3,056 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$321 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$301 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$342 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly tied because Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts list a minimum of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 amid scattered showers and persistent high humidity. Limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy skies and a weak steering flow keep temperatures from dropping further, while the urban heat island and recent monsoon moisture add slight upward bias. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of any convective cooling introduce enough uncertainty to split probability evenly between the two thresholds. Historical August minima in the region average near 23–24°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline yet remain sensitive to the next model update or observational adjustment before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,409Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly tied because Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts list a minimum of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 amid scattered showers and persistent high humidity. Limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy skies and a weak steering flow keep temperatures from dropping further, while the urban heat island and recent monsoon moisture add slight upward bias. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of any convective cooling introduce enough uncertainty to split probability evenly between the two thresholds. Historical August minima in the region average near 23–24°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline yet remain sensitive to the next model update or observational adjustment before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,409Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 24°C and 25°C as nearly tied because Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts list a minimum of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 amid scattered showers and persistent high humidity. Limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy skies and a weak steering flow keep temperatures from dropping further, while the urban heat island and recent monsoon moisture add slight upward bias. Ensemble model spreads and the precise timing of any convective cooling introduce enough uncertainty to split probability evenly between the two thresholds. Historical August minima in the region average near 23–24°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline yet remain sensitive to the next model update or observational adjustment before the daily low is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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