**Forecast models from agencies tracking the Korean Peninsula show a stable late-summer pattern holding overnight temperatures near 22°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2.** High humidity, light winds, and persistent cloud cover limit radiative cooling, aligning closely with climatological September minima around 21–23°C. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this narrow range with minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 22°C. A modest cold-air advection or clearer skies could dip readings toward 21°C, while any localized warming would push the minimum above the threshold, though current data indicate low likelihood of either outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
22°C 92%
21°C 8%
20°C 2.4%
19°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
21%
22°C
92%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 92%
21°C 8%
20°C 2.4%
19°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
18°C or below
$577 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,057 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$892 Обс.
2%
21°C
$431 Обс.
21%
22°C
$1,082 Обс.
92%
23°C
$1,280 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,517 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$317 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$211 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$158 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$166 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies tracking the Korean Peninsula show a stable late-summer pattern holding overnight temperatures near 22°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2.** High humidity, light winds, and persistent cloud cover limit radiative cooling, aligning closely with climatological September minima around 21–23°C. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this narrow range with minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 22°C. A modest cold-air advection or clearer skies could dip readings toward 21°C, while any localized warming would push the minimum above the threshold, though current data indicate low likelihood of either outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,688Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies tracking the Korean Peninsula show a stable late-summer pattern holding overnight temperatures near 22°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2.** High humidity, light winds, and persistent cloud cover limit radiative cooling, aligning closely with climatological September minima around 21–23°C. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this narrow range with minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 22°C. A modest cold-air advection or clearer skies could dip readings toward 21°C, while any localized warming would push the minimum above the threshold, though current data indicate low likelihood of either outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,688Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies tracking the Korean Peninsula show a stable late-summer pattern holding overnight temperatures near 22°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 2.** High humidity, light winds, and persistent cloud cover limit radiative cooling, aligning closely with climatological September minima around 21–23°C. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on this narrow range with minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 22°C. A modest cold-air advection or clearer skies could dip readings toward 21°C, while any localized warming would push the minimum above the threshold, though current data indicate low likelihood of either outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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