**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) because official and model consensus forecasts a nighttime minimum of 27–28°C.** Persistent warm, humid air with southeast winds, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread cloud cover or light rain limit overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, list a low of 27–28°C for the night of August 30 under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers. Recent developments reinforce this range: elevated moisture and weak pressure gradients have kept overnight lows elevated in the preceding days (typically 27–28°C), with no approaching cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling event expected. Historical late-August climatology for Shanghai shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current atmospheric conditions are running warmer. Lower probabilities for 26°C (7%) or 28°C (17.5%) reflect minor model spread in exact cooling rates under the humid regime, while outcomes below 25°C or above 29°C remain negligible given the entrenched warmth and forecast consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
27°C 76%
28°C 17%
25°C 7%
26°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
76%
28°C
17%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 17%
25°C 7%
26°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$7 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
7%
26°C
$318 Обс.
7%
27°C
$863 Обс.
76%
28°C
$3,734 Обс.
17%
29°C
$69 Обс.
1%
30°C
$7 Обс.
1%
31°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$21 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) because official and model consensus forecasts a nighttime minimum of 27–28°C.** Persistent warm, humid air with southeast winds, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread cloud cover or light rain limit overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, list a low of 27–28°C for the night of August 30 under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers.
Recent developments reinforce this range: elevated moisture and weak pressure gradients have kept overnight lows elevated in the preceding days (typically 27–28°C), with no approaching cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling event expected. Historical late-August climatology for Shanghai shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current atmospheric conditions are running warmer. Lower probabilities for 26°C (7%) or 28°C (17.5%) reflect minor model spread in exact cooling rates under the humid regime, while outcomes below 25°C or above 29°C remain negligible given the entrenched warmth and forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,984Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) because official and model consensus forecasts a nighttime minimum of 27–28°C.** Persistent warm, humid air with southeast winds, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread cloud cover or light rain limit overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, list a low of 27–28°C for the night of August 30 under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers.
Recent developments reinforce this range: elevated moisture and weak pressure gradients have kept overnight lows elevated in the preceding days (typically 27–28°C), with no approaching cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling event expected. Historical late-August climatology for Shanghai shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current atmospheric conditions are running warmer. Lower probabilities for 26°C (7%) or 28°C (17.5%) reflect minor model spread in exact cooling rates under the humid regime, while outcomes below 25°C or above 29°C remain negligible given the entrenched warmth and forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,984Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) because official and model consensus forecasts a nighttime minimum of 27–28°C.** Persistent warm, humid air with southeast winds, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread cloud cover or light rain limit overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, list a low of 27–28°C for the night of August 30 under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers. Recent developments reinforce this range: elevated moisture and weak pressure gradients have kept overnight lows elevated in the preceding days (typically 27–28°C), with no approaching cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling event expected. Historical late-August climatology for Shanghai shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current atmospheric conditions are running warmer. Lower probabilities for 26°C (7%) or 28°C (17.5%) reflect minor model spread in exact cooling rates under the humid regime, while outcomes below 25°C or above 29°C remain negligible given the entrenched warmth and forecast consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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