Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by large presidential margins and historical patterns where Democratic incumbents have not lost reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary and maintains a substantial polling lead of 58 percent to 31 percent against Republican Dan Cox in the most recent survey, alongside a clear fundraising advantage. Cox, the 2022 nominee, prevailed in a crowded GOP primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold broad advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts on affordability, or health-related events could still narrow the gap before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMaryland Governor Election Winner
Maryland Governor Election Winner
$22,105 Обс.
$22,105 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Republican
3%
$22,105 Обс.
$22,105 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$13,007 Обс.
97%
Republican
$9,098 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by large presidential margins and historical patterns where Democratic incumbents have not lost reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary and maintains a substantial polling lead of 58 percent to 31 percent against Republican Dan Cox in the most recent survey, alongside a clear fundraising advantage. Cox, the 2022 nominee, prevailed in a crowded GOP primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold broad advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts on affordability, or health-related events could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,105Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by large presidential margins and historical patterns where Democratic incumbents have not lost reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary and maintains a substantial polling lead of 58 percent to 31 percent against Republican Dan Cox in the most recent survey, alongside a clear fundraising advantage. Cox, the 2022 nominee, prevailed in a crowded GOP primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold broad advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts on affordability, or health-related events could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$22,105Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by large presidential margins and historical patterns where Democratic incumbents have not lost reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the June primary and maintains a substantial polling lead of 58 percent to 31 percent against Republican Dan Cox in the most recent survey, alongside a clear fundraising advantage. Cox, the 2022 nominee, prevailed in a crowded GOP primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold broad advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts on affordability, or health-related events could still narrow the gap before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання