Gregg Hull holds the strongest position in the Republican primary for New Mexico governor due to his twelve years as Rio Rancho mayor and commanding performance at the party's preprimary convention. Recent polling from early May shows him ahead of Doug Turner and Duke Rodriguez, though with a large undecided share among likely voters. The three main candidates participated in a May debate and multiple candidate forums in the weeks before the June 2 primary, giving Hull additional visibility as the frontrunner. Traders have priced in this combination of institutional support, name recognition, and polling trends, while assigning lower probabilities to the other contenders based on their more limited statewide profiles and delegate results.