Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a 73% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, NY-21 general election, while Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien sits at 25%. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik after her gubernatorial bid ended, favors the Republican in this North Country district with its established partisan lean. Primaries concluded June 23, with Constantino defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen for the GOP line and Gendebien securing the Democratic nomination over Stuart Amoriell. Recent polling and market pricing reflect Constantino’s stronger positioning in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, though voter turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$56,867 Обс.
$56,867 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
25%
$56,867 Обс.
$56,867 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$27,396 Обс.
73%
Democratic Party
$29,471 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a 73% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, NY-21 general election, while Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien sits at 25%. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik after her gubernatorial bid ended, favors the Republican in this North Country district with its established partisan lean. Primaries concluded June 23, with Constantino defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen for the GOP line and Gendebien securing the Democratic nomination over Stuart Amoriell. Recent polling and market pricing reflect Constantino’s stronger positioning in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, though voter turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$56,867Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a 73% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, NY-21 general election, while Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien sits at 25%. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik after her gubernatorial bid ended, favors the Republican in this North Country district with its established partisan lean. Primaries concluded June 23, with Constantino defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen for the GOP line and Gendebien securing the Democratic nomination over Stuart Amoriell. Recent polling and market pricing reflect Constantino’s stronger positioning in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, though voter turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$56,867Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a 73% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, NY-21 general election, while Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien sits at 25%. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik after her gubernatorial bid ended, favors the Republican in this North Country district with its established partisan lean. Primaries concluded June 23, with Constantino defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen for the GOP line and Gendebien securing the Democratic nomination over Stuart Amoriell. Recent polling and market pricing reflect Constantino’s stronger positioning in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, though voter turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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