Republican incumbent Max Miller faces ongoing personal allegations that have intensified scrutiny in Ohio's 7th District ahead of the November 3 general election, contributing to trader consensus favoring Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 76.5% implied probability. The district, which supported Trump by 11 points in 2024, saw Miller win reelection with just 51% that year amid a competitive independent challenge. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local official, has drawn support from organized labor and blue-collar voters in suburban Cleveland and rural areas, positioning the race as more contested than historical partisan leans suggest. Recent polls indicate narrow margins or slight Republican edges, while Cook Political Report maintains a "Likely R" rating. Traders appear to weigh the allegations and candidate profiles more heavily than baseline district data, with the primary window now closed and no replacement options remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-07 House Election Winner
OH-07 House Election Winner
$51,618 Обс.
$51,618 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
23%
$51,618 Обс.
$51,618 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$33,061 Обс.
77%
Republican Party
$18,556 Обс.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Max Miller faces ongoing personal allegations that have intensified scrutiny in Ohio's 7th District ahead of the November 3 general election, contributing to trader consensus favoring Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 76.5% implied probability. The district, which supported Trump by 11 points in 2024, saw Miller win reelection with just 51% that year amid a competitive independent challenge. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local official, has drawn support from organized labor and blue-collar voters in suburban Cleveland and rural areas, positioning the race as more contested than historical partisan leans suggest. Recent polls indicate narrow margins or slight Republican edges, while Cook Political Report maintains a "Likely R" rating. Traders appear to weigh the allegations and candidate profiles more heavily than baseline district data, with the primary window now closed and no replacement options remaining.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$51,618Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Max Miller faces ongoing personal allegations that have intensified scrutiny in Ohio's 7th District ahead of the November 3 general election, contributing to trader consensus favoring Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 76.5% implied probability. The district, which supported Trump by 11 points in 2024, saw Miller win reelection with just 51% that year amid a competitive independent challenge. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local official, has drawn support from organized labor and blue-collar voters in suburban Cleveland and rural areas, positioning the race as more contested than historical partisan leans suggest. Recent polls indicate narrow margins or slight Republican edges, while Cook Political Report maintains a "Likely R" rating. Traders appear to weigh the allegations and candidate profiles more heavily than baseline district data, with the primary window now closed and no replacement options remaining.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$51,618Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Max Miller faces ongoing personal allegations that have intensified scrutiny in Ohio's 7th District ahead of the November 3 general election, contributing to trader consensus favoring Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 76.5% implied probability. The district, which supported Trump by 11 points in 2024, saw Miller win reelection with just 51% that year amid a competitive independent challenge. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local official, has drawn support from organized labor and blue-collar voters in suburban Cleveland and rural areas, positioning the race as more contested than historical partisan leans suggest. Recent polls indicate narrow margins or slight Republican edges, while Cook Political Report maintains a "Likely R" rating. Traders appear to weigh the allegations and candidate profiles more heavily than baseline district data, with the primary window now closed and no replacement options remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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