Vladimir Putin’s constitutional term limits, reset by 2020 amendments to permit service until 2036 following his 2024 reelection, underpin the 88.5 percent trader-implied probability that he remains president through December 31, 2026. No elite defections, verified health issues, or parliamentary no-confidence moves have surfaced in the past month. On May 9 he presided over the Victory Day parade in Moscow, reaffirming control while signaling the Ukraine conflict’s possible conclusion on Russian terms. Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented in early May to counter reported coup and assassination risks have not altered his grip on security services or state institutions. Ongoing military modernization announcements, including recent Sarmat missile tests, further illustrate continuity rather than transition pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПутін вийде з посади президента Росії до 31 грудня 2026 року?
Так
$4,270,274 Обс.
$4,270,274 Обс.
Так
$4,270,274 Обс.
$4,270,274 Обс.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s constitutional term limits, reset by 2020 amendments to permit service until 2036 following his 2024 reelection, underpin the 88.5 percent trader-implied probability that he remains president through December 31, 2026. No elite defections, verified health issues, or parliamentary no-confidence moves have surfaced in the past month. On May 9 he presided over the Victory Day parade in Moscow, reaffirming control while signaling the Ukraine conflict’s possible conclusion on Russian terms. Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented in early May to counter reported coup and assassination risks have not altered his grip on security services or state institutions. Ongoing military modernization announcements, including recent Sarmat missile tests, further illustrate continuity rather than transition pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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