Recent leadership transitions have reshaped Quebec's provincial contest ahead of the election due by October 5. Christine Fréchette's April selection as CAQ leader and premier followed François Legault's exit, yet polls show only modest recovery for the party. Charles Milliard's February ascension has helped the PLQ narrow the gap with the PQ in popular-vote surveys, producing near-ties in May polling from Léger and Liaison Strategies. The Parti Québécois maintains an edge in seat-projection models such as 338Canada because of stronger francophone support outside Montreal, a factor reflected in trader pricing that favors PQ seat plurality. Minor parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for breakthroughs under current trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
Переможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
ПК 58%
ЛПК 29%
CAQ 10%
ПКК <1%
$504,985 Обс.
$504,985 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
58%
ЛПК
29%
CAQ
10%
ПКК
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
ПК 58%
ЛПК 29%
CAQ 10%
ПКК <1%
$504,985 Обс.
$504,985 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
ПК
$52,323 Обс.
58%
ЛПК
$56,068 Обс.
29%
CAQ
$59,477 Обс.
10%
ПКК
$164,004 Обс.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Обс.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent leadership transitions have reshaped Quebec's provincial contest ahead of the election due by October 5. Christine Fréchette's April selection as CAQ leader and premier followed François Legault's exit, yet polls show only modest recovery for the party. Charles Milliard's February ascension has helped the PLQ narrow the gap with the PQ in popular-vote surveys, producing near-ties in May polling from Léger and Liaison Strategies. The Parti Québécois maintains an edge in seat-projection models such as 338Canada because of stronger francophone support outside Montreal, a factor reflected in trader pricing that favors PQ seat plurality. Minor parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for breakthroughs under current trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$504,985Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent leadership transitions have reshaped Quebec's provincial contest ahead of the election due by October 5. Christine Fréchette's April selection as CAQ leader and premier followed François Legault's exit, yet polls show only modest recovery for the party. Charles Milliard's February ascension has helped the PLQ narrow the gap with the PQ in popular-vote surveys, producing near-ties in May polling from Léger and Liaison Strategies. The Parti Québécois maintains an edge in seat-projection models such as 338Canada because of stronger francophone support outside Montreal, a factor reflected in trader pricing that favors PQ seat plurality. Minor parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for breakthroughs under current trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$504,985Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent leadership transitions have reshaped Quebec's provincial contest ahead of the election due by October 5. Christine Fréchette's April selection as CAQ leader and premier followed François Legault's exit, yet polls show only modest recovery for the party. Charles Milliard's February ascension has helped the PLQ narrow the gap with the PQ in popular-vote surveys, producing near-ties in May polling from Léger and Liaison Strategies. The Parti Québécois maintains an edge in seat-projection models such as 338Canada because of stronger francophone support outside Montreal, a factor reflected in trader pricing that favors PQ seat plurality. Minor parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for breakthroughs under current trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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