Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core advancing 0.3% m/m amid a gasoline surge of 3.9% and broader energy gains tied to geopolitical tensions. These factors, alongside firm shelter costs and rebounding goods prices, underpin trader positioning around 0.4–0.6% for the September monthly print, as reflected in the dispersed Polymarket odds. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.37% headline growth, but volatility in energy and airfares creates swing potential. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting and any further commodity moves will likely influence near-term sentiment ahead of the mid-October release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.5% 30%
0.6% 19%
0.4% 16%
0.7% 12%
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
15%
0.4%
16%
0.5%
30%
0.6%
19%
0.7%
12%
≥0.8%
11%
0.5% 30%
0.6% 19%
0.4% 16%
0.7% 12%
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
15%
0.4%
16%
0.5%
30%
0.6%
19%
0.7%
12%
≥0.8%
11%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core advancing 0.3% m/m amid a gasoline surge of 3.9% and broader energy gains tied to geopolitical tensions. These factors, alongside firm shelter costs and rebounding goods prices, underpin trader positioning around 0.4–0.6% for the September monthly print, as reflected in the dispersed Polymarket odds. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.37% headline growth, but volatility in energy and airfares creates swing potential. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting and any further commodity moves will likely influence near-term sentiment ahead of the mid-October release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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