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icon for Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

icon for Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Dec 31

Dec 31

НОВЕ
May 22, 2026
Polymarket

$485 Обс.

Polymarket

May 22

$211 Обс.

32%

May 31

$3 Обс.

51%

December 31

$271 Обс.

81%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s February 2026 directive to declassify government UAP records triggered immediate market movement on timing bets, as traders weighed his public pledge for “maximum transparency” against the bureaucratic scale of reviewing decades of files. The Pentagon’s first rolling release on May 8 delivered hundreds of previously unseen photos, videos, and reports spanning Apollo missions to recent pilot sightings, instantly satisfying the “new files” threshold for many markets while confirming additional tranches every few weeks. Cultural momentum around alien disclosure—fueled by years of congressional hearings, viral Pentagon footage, and blockbuster streaming docs—has kept public interest elevated, yet the absence of any smoking-gun evidence has tempered expectations of dramatic late-year drops. Traders now eye the next scheduled batch and any surprise Truth Social announcements as the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$485
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s February 2026 directive to declassify government UAP records triggered immediate market movement on timing bets, as traders weighed his public pledge for “maximum transparency” against the bureaucratic scale of reviewing decades of files. The Pentagon’s first rolling release on May 8 delivered hundreds of previously unseen photos, videos, and reports spanning Apollo missions to recent pilot sightings, instantly satisfying the “new files” threshold for many markets while confirming additional tranches every few weeks. Cultural momentum around alien disclosure—fueled by years of congressional hearings, viral Pentagon footage, and blockbuster streaming docs—has kept public interest elevated, yet the absence of any smoking-gun evidence has tempered expectations of dramatic late-year drops. Traders now eye the next scheduled batch and any surprise Truth Social announcements as the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$485
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 81%, далі «May 31» з 51%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 18, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?» — «December 31» з 81%. Наступний — «May 31» з 51%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.