Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 43.7 percent in Colombia’s May 31 presidential election, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Traders priced the 40–45 percent band at 99.3 percent because official tallies confirmed this range after de la Espriella surged in the campaign’s final weeks on pledges of an iron-fist crackdown on armed groups and crime. His outsider profile and rapid consolidation of center-right and conservative support exceeded most late polls, while Cepeda, backed by the outgoing Petro administration, finished just behind at about 41 percent. With the first-round results now certified, the narrow band around the actual outcome reflects near-certainty absent any unresolved counting disputes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 99.4%
45%+ <1%
20-25% <1%
<20% <1%
$13,409 KL.
$13,409 KL.
May 31, 2026
<20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%+
1%
40-45% 99.4%
45%+ <1%
20-25% <1%
<20% <1%
$13,409 KL.
$13,409 KL.
May 31, 2026
<20%
$973 KL.
<1%
20-25%
$1,653 KL.
<1%
25-30%
$1,781 KL.
<1%
30-35%
$1,237 KL.
<1%
35-40%
$1,769 KL.
<1%
40-45%
$2,940 KL.
99%
45%+
$3,056 KL.
1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 43.7 percent in Colombia’s May 31 presidential election, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Traders priced the 40–45 percent band at 99.3 percent because official tallies confirmed this range after de la Espriella surged in the campaign’s final weeks on pledges of an iron-fist crackdown on armed groups and crime. His outsider profile and rapid consolidation of center-right and conservative support exceeded most late polls, while Cepeda, backed by the outgoing Petro administration, finished just behind at about 41 percent. With the first-round results now certified, the narrow band around the actual outcome reflects near-certainty absent any unresolved counting disputes.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Thị trường mở: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,409Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 43.7 percent in Colombia’s May 31 presidential election, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Traders priced the 40–45 percent band at 99.3 percent because official tallies confirmed this range after de la Espriella surged in the campaign’s final weeks on pledges of an iron-fist crackdown on armed groups and crime. His outsider profile and rapid consolidation of center-right and conservative support exceeded most late polls, while Cepeda, backed by the outgoing Petro administration, finished just behind at about 41 percent. With the first-round results now certified, the narrow band around the actual outcome reflects near-certainty absent any unresolved counting disputes.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Khối lượng
$13,409Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 43.7 percent in Colombia’s May 31 presidential election, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Traders priced the 40–45 percent band at 99.3 percent because official tallies confirmed this range after de la Espriella surged in the campaign’s final weeks on pledges of an iron-fist crackdown on armed groups and crime. His outsider profile and rapid consolidation of center-right and conservative support exceeded most late polls, while Cepeda, backed by the outgoing Petro administration, finished just behind at about 41 percent. With the first-round results now certified, the narrow band around the actual outcome reflects near-certainty absent any unresolved counting disputes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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