Recent analyst surveys from Argentina's central bank have lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, amid persistent monthly prints near 3 percent and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Year-over-year rates eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, yet cumulative first-quarter gains of 9.4 percent have already pressured official targets. These developments underpin the tight contest between the 30.0-34.9 percent and 25-29.9 percent bins on Polymarket, where traders price in the balance between ongoing disinflation inertia and upside risks from fuel and regulated-price adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 22.8%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
18%
25-29.9%
27%
30.0-34.9%
28%
35–39.9%
16%
40-44.9%
23%
45%+
7%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 22.8%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$2,516 KL.
7%
20-24.9%
$1,429 KL.
18%
25-29.9%
$1,626 KL.
27%
30.0-34.9%
$976 KL.
28%
35–39.9%
$1,121 KL.
16%
40-44.9%
$934 KL.
23%
45%+
$1,164 KL.
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent analyst surveys from Argentina's central bank have lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, amid persistent monthly prints near 3 percent and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Year-over-year rates eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, yet cumulative first-quarter gains of 9.4 percent have already pressured official targets. These developments underpin the tight contest between the 30.0-34.9 percent and 25-29.9 percent bins on Polymarket, where traders price in the balance between ongoing disinflation inertia and upside risks from fuel and regulated-price adjustments.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,766Ngày kết thúc
Jan 10, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent analyst surveys from Argentina's central bank have lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, amid persistent monthly prints near 3 percent and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Year-over-year rates eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, yet cumulative first-quarter gains of 9.4 percent have already pressured official targets. These developments underpin the tight contest between the 30.0-34.9 percent and 25-29.9 percent bins on Polymarket, where traders price in the balance between ongoing disinflation inertia and upside risks from fuel and regulated-price adjustments.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$9,766Ngày kết thúc
Jan 10, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent analyst surveys from Argentina's central bank have lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, up 1.4 percentage points from prior estimates, amid persistent monthly prints near 3 percent and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Year-over-year rates eased modestly to 32.4 percent in April from 32.6 percent in March, yet cumulative first-quarter gains of 9.4 percent have already pressured official targets. These developments underpin the tight contest between the 30.0-34.9 percent and 25-29.9 percent bins on Polymarket, where traders price in the balance between ongoing disinflation inertia and upside risks from fuel and regulated-price adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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