Databricks’ data lakehouse platform and AI tooling have driven rapid revenue expansion to a $5.4 billion annualized run rate, yet the market assigns a 90%+ implied probability that no IPO closes by June 30, 2026. The decisive factor is the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC as of mid-May, combined with recent private financing rounds that have supplied ample capital at a $134 billion valuation and removed near-term pressure to list. Standard IPO mechanics—confidential filing, SEC review, roadshow, and pricing—typically require three to six months, making a pre-July debut improbable without an unexpected acceleration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential H2 2026 filing timing and any comments from CEO Ali Ghodsi on market conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 87.8%
200–250 tỷ 2.5%
125–150 tỷ 1.4%
250 tỷ đô la+ <1%
$404,048 KL.
$404,048 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 tỷ
<1%
100–125 tỷ
<1%
125–150 tỷ
1%
150–175 tỷ
<1%
175–200 tỷ
<1%
200–250 tỷ
2%
250 tỷ đô la+
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
88%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 87.8%
200–250 tỷ 2.5%
125–150 tỷ 1.4%
250 tỷ đô la+ <1%
$404,048 KL.
$404,048 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 tỷ
$33,251 KL.
<1%
100–125 tỷ
$62,203 KL.
<1%
125–150 tỷ
$26,692 KL.
1%
150–175 tỷ
$59,911 KL.
<1%
175–200 tỷ
$58,164 KL.
<1%
200–250 tỷ
$21,122 KL.
2%
250 tỷ đô la+
$126,222 KL.
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
$16,483 KL.
88%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks’ data lakehouse platform and AI tooling have driven rapid revenue expansion to a $5.4 billion annualized run rate, yet the market assigns a 90%+ implied probability that no IPO closes by June 30, 2026. The decisive factor is the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC as of mid-May, combined with recent private financing rounds that have supplied ample capital at a $134 billion valuation and removed near-term pressure to list. Standard IPO mechanics—confidential filing, SEC review, roadshow, and pricing—typically require three to six months, making a pre-July debut improbable without an unexpected acceleration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential H2 2026 filing timing and any comments from CEO Ali Ghodsi on market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$404,048Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks’ data lakehouse platform and AI tooling have driven rapid revenue expansion to a $5.4 billion annualized run rate, yet the market assigns a 90%+ implied probability that no IPO closes by June 30, 2026. The decisive factor is the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC as of mid-May, combined with recent private financing rounds that have supplied ample capital at a $134 billion valuation and removed near-term pressure to list. Standard IPO mechanics—confidential filing, SEC review, roadshow, and pricing—typically require three to six months, making a pre-July debut improbable without an unexpected acceleration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential H2 2026 filing timing and any comments from CEO Ali Ghodsi on market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$404,048Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks’ data lakehouse platform and AI tooling have driven rapid revenue expansion to a $5.4 billion annualized run rate, yet the market assigns a 90%+ implied probability that no IPO closes by June 30, 2026. The decisive factor is the absence of any S-1 filing with the SEC as of mid-May, combined with recent private financing rounds that have supplied ample capital at a $134 billion valuation and removed near-term pressure to list. Standard IPO mechanics—confidential filing, SEC review, roadshow, and pricing—typically require three to six months, making a pre-July debut improbable without an unexpected acceleration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential H2 2026 filing timing and any comments from CEO Ali Ghodsi on market conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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