Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA show strong daytime heating across central Texas under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly winds advecting warm, moist air and minimal cloud cover allowing for efficient solar radiation. This setup supports an official high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 83–87°F and recent heat anomalies have pushed multiple days above 90°F. Trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects these verified atmospheric conditions, though final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reading, with minor adjustments possible if unexpected afternoon convection develops.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on May 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?
88°F or higher 69%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 1.1%
82-83°F <1%
$26,715 KL.
$26,715 KL.
May 17, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
32%
88°F or higher
69%
88°F or higher 69%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 1.1%
82-83°F <1%
$26,715 KL.
$26,715 KL.
May 17, 2026
69°F or below
$1,323 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,985 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,762 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$648 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,547 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$507 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,700 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,921 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$2,490 KL.
1%
86-87°F
$2,437 KL.
32%
88°F or higher
$4,456 KL.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA show strong daytime heating across central Texas under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly winds advecting warm, moist air and minimal cloud cover allowing for efficient solar radiation. This setup supports an official high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 83–87°F and recent heat anomalies have pushed multiple days above 90°F. Trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects these verified atmospheric conditions, though final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reading, with minor adjustments possible if unexpected afternoon convection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,715Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA show strong daytime heating across central Texas under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly winds advecting warm, moist air and minimal cloud cover allowing for efficient solar radiation. This setup supports an official high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 83–87°F and recent heat anomalies have pushed multiple days above 90°F. Trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects these verified atmospheric conditions, though final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reading, with minor adjustments possible if unexpected afternoon convection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$26,715Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSCurrent forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA show strong daytime heating across central Texas under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly winds advecting warm, moist air and minimal cloud cover allowing for efficient solar radiation. This setup supports an official high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 83–87°F and recent heat anomalies have pushed multiple days above 90°F. Trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects these verified atmospheric conditions, though final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reading, with minor adjustments possible if unexpected afternoon convection develops.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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