Current numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's highest temperature on May 18 will most likely fall between 26°C and 28°C, aligning closely with the market's tight distribution across these outcomes. Springtime insolation continues to strengthen amid a warming seasonal trend, while light southerly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak timing and radiative heating. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with official observations resolving at the precise reading from Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical climatology for mid-May supports this range, though any unexpected clear-sky development or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher or cap them lower before resolution tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 16%
MỚI
$11,667 KL.
MỚI
$11,667 KL.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 16%
MỚI
$11,667 KL.
MỚI
$11,667 KL.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$3,504 KL.
1%
23°C
$1,252 KL.
2%
24°C
$1,854 KL.
6%
25°C
$803 KL.
16%
26°C
$744 KL.
27%
27°C
$736 KL.
25%
28°C
$473 KL.
22%
29°C
$434 KL.
3%
30°C
$332 KL.
1%
31°C
$805 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$815 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's highest temperature on May 18 will most likely fall between 26°C and 28°C, aligning closely with the market's tight distribution across these outcomes. Springtime insolation continues to strengthen amid a warming seasonal trend, while light southerly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak timing and radiative heating. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with official observations resolving at the precise reading from Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical climatology for mid-May supports this range, though any unexpected clear-sky development or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher or cap them lower before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,667Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's highest temperature on May 18 will most likely fall between 26°C and 28°C, aligning closely with the market's tight distribution across these outcomes. Springtime insolation continues to strengthen amid a warming seasonal trend, while light southerly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak timing and radiative heating. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with official observations resolving at the precise reading from Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical climatology for mid-May supports this range, though any unexpected clear-sky development or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher or cap them lower before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$11,667Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's highest temperature on May 18 will most likely fall between 26°C and 28°C, aligning closely with the market's tight distribution across these outcomes. Springtime insolation continues to strengthen amid a warming seasonal trend, while light southerly flow and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak timing and radiative heating. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with official observations resolving at the precise reading from Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical climatology for mid-May supports this range, though any unexpected clear-sky development or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher or cap them lower before resolution tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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