Current meteorological forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Buenos Aires on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and cool southerly flow across the Río de la Plata region are expected to cap daytime warming, consistent with late-autumn climatology and recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, which typically report the highest reading from central stations. The dominant consensus leaves minimal scope for upward revision unless an unanticipated warm-air advection develops before peak heating, an event not supported by the latest atmospheric guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,438 KL.
$32,438 KL.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,438 KL.
$32,438 KL.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZCurrent meteorological forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Buenos Aires on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and cool southerly flow across the Río de la Plata region are expected to cap daytime warming, consistent with late-autumn climatology and recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, which typically report the highest reading from central stations. The dominant consensus leaves minimal scope for upward revision unless an unanticipated warm-air advection develops before peak heating, an event not supported by the latest atmospheric guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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