Latest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,488 KL.
$66,488 KL.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,488 KL.
$66,488 KL.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,364 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,745 KL.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 KL.
<1%
26°C
$5,042 KL.
<1%
27°C
$5,971 KL.
<1%
28°C
$6,250 KL.
<1%
29°C
$6,422 KL.
<1%
30°C
$9,437 KL.
<1%
31°C
$11,331 KL.
100%
32°C
$8,891 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,979 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$66,488Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$66,488Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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