Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 12?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,093 KL.
$81,093 KL.
May 12, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,093 KL.
$81,093 KL.
May 12, 2026
8°C or below
$2,281 KL.
No
9°C
$1,594 KL.
No
10°C
$2,526 KL.
No
11°C
$10,292 KL.
No
12°C
$4,661 KL.
No
13°C
$3,765 KL.
No
14°C
$6,175 KL.
No
15°C
$26,426 KL.
No
16°C
$8,651 KL.
Yes
17°C
$9,564 KL.
No
18°C or higher
$5,161 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$81,093Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$81,093Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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