Hong Kong Observatory observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 34.6°C at Sheung Shui station, with other sites like Tai Lung and Ta Kwu Ling exceeding 33°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. Sunny skies, low humidity, and a ridge of high pressure fostered intense afternoon heating typical of May's transition to summer, aligning with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends in the region. While official measurements from multiple verified stations provide robust evidence, rare scenarios like data revisions from equipment recalibration or post-audit discrepancies could theoretically challenge this positioning, though such events are exceedingly uncommon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$356,979 KL.
$356,979 KL.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$356,979 KL.
$356,979 KL.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Hong Kong Observatory observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 34.6°C at Sheung Shui station, with other sites like Tai Lung and Ta Kwu Ling exceeding 33°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. Sunny skies, low humidity, and a ridge of high pressure fostered intense afternoon heating typical of May's transition to summer, aligning with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends in the region. While official measurements from multiple verified stations provide robust evidence, rare scenarios like data revisions from equipment recalibration or post-audit discrepancies could theoretically challenge this positioning, though such events are exceedingly uncommon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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