The Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for May 17 projects daytime temperatures between 23 and 26 °C, with numerical weather prediction ensembles tightly clustered around a 25 °C maximum under a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moist easterly flow. Lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak monsoon trough are suppressing surface heating, keeping readings well below the seasonal climatological average of 28–31 °C. This atmospheric setup has produced consistent model agreement that supports the market-implied odds near 100 percent for 25 °C. A later-than-expected clearance of clouds or a shift in steering flow could allow brief additional warming, but any such change would need to occur before official observations close for the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$263,410 KL.
$263,410 KL.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$263,410 KL.
$263,410 KL.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 KL.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 KL.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 KL.
<1%
24°C
$38,087 KL.
<1%
25°C
$103,472 KL.
100%
26°C
$52,926 KL.
<1%
27°C
$24,328 KL.
<1%
28°C
$12,532 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for May 17 projects daytime temperatures between 23 and 26 °C, with numerical weather prediction ensembles tightly clustered around a 25 °C maximum under a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moist easterly flow. Lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak monsoon trough are suppressing surface heating, keeping readings well below the seasonal climatological average of 28–31 °C. This atmospheric setup has produced consistent model agreement that supports the market-implied odds near 100 percent for 25 °C. A later-than-expected clearance of clouds or a shift in steering flow could allow brief additional warming, but any such change would need to occur before official observations close for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$263,410Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for May 17 projects daytime temperatures between 23 and 26 °C, with numerical weather prediction ensembles tightly clustered around a 25 °C maximum under a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moist easterly flow. Lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak monsoon trough are suppressing surface heating, keeping readings well below the seasonal climatological average of 28–31 °C. This atmospheric setup has produced consistent model agreement that supports the market-implied odds near 100 percent for 25 °C. A later-than-expected clearance of clouds or a shift in steering flow could allow brief additional warming, but any such change would need to occur before official observations close for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$263,410Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThe Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for May 17 projects daytime temperatures between 23 and 26 °C, with numerical weather prediction ensembles tightly clustered around a 25 °C maximum under a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moist easterly flow. Lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak monsoon trough are suppressing surface heating, keeping readings well below the seasonal climatological average of 28–31 °C. This atmospheric setup has produced consistent model agreement that supports the market-implied odds near 100 percent for 25 °C. A later-than-expected clearance of clouds or a shift in steering flow could allow brief additional warming, but any such change would need to occur before official observations close for the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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