Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models project a high temperature of 84–88°F in Houston today, driven by southerly flow drawing warm, humid Gulf air northward under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the daily maximum well above the long-term May normal of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport while remaining below extreme heat thresholds. The market’s 74% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects traders’ confidence in these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread, with only a slim chance of stronger convection or cloud cover lowering readings into the mid-80s. Updated guidance this morning continues to support the upper end of the range, consistent with typical late-spring climatology for the Houston metro area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 62.8%
84-85°F 37%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,859 KL.
$17,859 KL.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
37%
86°F or higher
63%
86°F or higher 62.8%
84-85°F 37%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,859 KL.
$17,859 KL.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
$1,361 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,053 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,678 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$476 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$250 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$795 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,605 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,514 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,198 KL.
37%
86°F or higher
$1,599 KL.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models project a high temperature of 84–88°F in Houston today, driven by southerly flow drawing warm, humid Gulf air northward under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the daily maximum well above the long-term May normal of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport while remaining below extreme heat thresholds. The market’s 74% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects traders’ confidence in these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread, with only a slim chance of stronger convection or cloud cover lowering readings into the mid-80s. Updated guidance this morning continues to support the upper end of the range, consistent with typical late-spring climatology for the Houston metro area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,859Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models project a high temperature of 84–88°F in Houston today, driven by southerly flow drawing warm, humid Gulf air northward under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the daily maximum well above the long-term May normal of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport while remaining below extreme heat thresholds. The market’s 74% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects traders’ confidence in these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread, with only a slim chance of stronger convection or cloud cover lowering readings into the mid-80s. Updated guidance this morning continues to support the upper end of the range, consistent with typical late-spring climatology for the Houston metro area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$17,859Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOURecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models project a high temperature of 84–88°F in Houston today, driven by southerly flow drawing warm, humid Gulf air northward under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the daily maximum well above the long-term May normal of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport while remaining below extreme heat thresholds. The market’s 74% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects traders’ confidence in these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread, with only a slim chance of stronger convection or cloud cover lowering readings into the mid-80s. Updated guidance this morning continues to support the upper end of the range, consistent with typical late-spring climatology for the Houston metro area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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