Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lagos on May 13?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 KL.
$40,908 KL.
May 13, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 KL.
$40,908 KL.
May 13, 2026
26°C or below
$2,216 KL.
No
27°C
$550 KL.
No
28°C
$3,673 KL.
No
29°C
$1,066 KL.
No
30°C
$1,792 KL.
No
31°C
$2,640 KL.
No
32°C
$3,040 KL.
No
33°C
$8,764 KL.
Yes
34°C
$4,280 KL.
No
35°C
$3,845 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$9,043 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,908Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$40,908Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp