Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 32°C (98.4% implied probability) as Lagos' highest temperature today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from AccuWeather and NiMet, which project daytime peaks of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of May's rainy season onset. Climatological data shows average May highs decreasing from 32–33°C early in the month, with NiMet's February 2026 seasonal prediction indicating above-normal temperatures but suppressed by frequent cloud cover and sea breezes. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine breaking through clouds or weaker harmattan influences, potentially pushing peaks to 33–34°C; official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport will confirm by evening, with intraday updates from NiMet guiding final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lagos on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 15?
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$31,281 KL.
$31,281 KL.
May 15, 2026
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$31,281 KL.
$31,281 KL.
May 15, 2026
32°C
$4,011 KL.
99%
33°C
$2,322 KL.
1%
34°C
$3,048 KL.
1%
35°C
$2,402 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$4,519 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 32°C (98.4% implied probability) as Lagos' highest temperature today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from AccuWeather and NiMet, which project daytime peaks of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of May's rainy season onset. Climatological data shows average May highs decreasing from 32–33°C early in the month, with NiMet's February 2026 seasonal prediction indicating above-normal temperatures but suppressed by frequent cloud cover and sea breezes. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine breaking through clouds or weaker harmattan influences, potentially pushing peaks to 33–34°C; official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport will confirm by evening, with intraday updates from NiMet guiding final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,281Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 32°C (98.4% implied probability) as Lagos' highest temperature today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from AccuWeather and NiMet, which project daytime peaks of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of May's rainy season onset. Climatological data shows average May highs decreasing from 32–33°C early in the month, with NiMet's February 2026 seasonal prediction indicating above-normal temperatures but suppressed by frequent cloud cover and sea breezes. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine breaking through clouds or weaker harmattan influences, potentially pushing peaks to 33–34°C; official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport will confirm by evening, with intraday updates from NiMet guiding final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$31,281Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 32°C (98.4% implied probability) as Lagos' highest temperature today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from AccuWeather and NiMet, which project daytime peaks of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of May's rainy season onset. Climatological data shows average May highs decreasing from 32–33°C early in the month, with NiMet's February 2026 seasonal prediction indicating above-normal temperatures but suppressed by frequent cloud cover and sea breezes. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine breaking through clouds or weaker harmattan influences, potentially pushing peaks to 33–34°C; official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport will confirm by evening, with intraday updates from NiMet guiding final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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