India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,370 KL.
$40,370 KL.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,370 KL.
$40,370 KL.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
$6,485 KL.
100%
42°C
$3,096 KL.
<1%
43°C
$3,992 KL.
<1%
44°C
$5,343 KL.
<1%
45°C
$3,118 KL.
<1%
46°C
$2,551 KL.
<1%
47°C
$6,418 KL.
<1%
48°C
$6,412 KL.
<1%
49°C
$862 KL.
<1%
50°C
$908 KL.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,370Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$40,370Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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