The India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, anchoring the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below outcome. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in May, keeping readings several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain. With minimal spread among short-range models and no significant shift in steering patterns or solar insolation expected before sunset, traders see little room for upward revisions. The official high recorded at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport will resolve the market, though any final IMD update citing unexpected clearing or drier air could still introduce modest uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
47°C <1%
$44,388 KL.
$44,388 KL.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
47°C <1%
$44,388 KL.
$44,388 KL.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, anchoring the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below outcome. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in May, keeping readings several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain. With minimal spread among short-range models and no significant shift in steering patterns or solar insolation expected before sunset, traders see little room for upward revisions. The official high recorded at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport will resolve the market, though any final IMD update citing unexpected clearing or drier air could still introduce modest uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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