Current observational data from meteorological stations across Madrid indicate a daytime peak near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for this exact outcome. National meteorological agency reports align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but recent model consensus and satellite-derived surface temperatures have kept readings from exceeding that mark. Minor upward revisions in forecast guidance could still allow a brief spike toward 23°C, though sustained clear skies and low humidity limit the realistic scope for such shifts before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 99.7%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,144 KL.
$52,144 KL.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.7%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,144 KL.
$52,144 KL.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 KL.
<1%
18°C
$1,647 KL.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,602 KL.
<1%
21°C
$7,643 KL.
<1%
22°C
$11,096 KL.
100%
23°C
$9,313 KL.
<1%
24°C
$5,222 KL.
1%
25°C
$3,788 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,588 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observational data from meteorological stations across Madrid indicate a daytime peak near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for this exact outcome. National meteorological agency reports align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but recent model consensus and satellite-derived surface temperatures have kept readings from exceeding that mark. Minor upward revisions in forecast guidance could still allow a brief spike toward 23°C, though sustained clear skies and low humidity limit the realistic scope for such shifts before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,144Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observational data from meteorological stations across Madrid indicate a daytime peak near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for this exact outcome. National meteorological agency reports align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but recent model consensus and satellite-derived surface temperatures have kept readings from exceeding that mark. Minor upward revisions in forecast guidance could still allow a brief spike toward 23°C, though sustained clear skies and low humidity limit the realistic scope for such shifts before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$52,144Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent observational data from meteorological stations across Madrid indicate a daytime peak near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds, driving the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for this exact outcome. National meteorological agency reports align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 23°C but recent model consensus and satellite-derived surface temperatures have kept readings from exceeding that mark. Minor upward revisions in forecast guidance could still allow a brief spike toward 23°C, though sustained clear skies and low humidity limit the realistic scope for such shifts before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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