Stable high-pressure systems and moderate westerly flow across central Spain are driving ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System toward a daily maximum of 23–25 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on May 18. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit daytime heating, placing the strongest market-implied probability on 24 °C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 22–24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though minor variations in wind or insolation could still shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
24°C 52%
23°C 19%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
MỚI
$12,342 KL.
MỚI
$12,342 KL.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
19%
24°C
52%
25°C
17%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 52%
23°C 19%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
MỚI
$12,342 KL.
MỚI
$12,342 KL.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$621 KL.
<1%
19°C
$906 KL.
<1%
20°C
$1,456 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,367 KL.
1%
22°C
$1,886 KL.
7%
23°C
$1,357 KL.
19%
24°C
$2,110 KL.
52%
25°C
$1,088 KL.
17%
26°C
$420 KL.
3%
27°C
$474 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$668 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure systems and moderate westerly flow across central Spain are driving ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System toward a daily maximum of 23–25 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on May 18. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit daytime heating, placing the strongest market-implied probability on 24 °C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 22–24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though minor variations in wind or insolation could still shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,342Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure systems and moderate westerly flow across central Spain are driving ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System toward a daily maximum of 23–25 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on May 18. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit daytime heating, placing the strongest market-implied probability on 24 °C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 22–24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though minor variations in wind or insolation could still shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$12,342Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDStable high-pressure systems and moderate westerly flow across central Spain are driving ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System toward a daily maximum of 23–25 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on May 18. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit daytime heating, placing the strongest market-implied probability on 24 °C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 22–24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though minor variations in wind or insolation could still shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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