Recent PAGASA forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture, aligning with the near-even trader split between those two outcomes. May marks the climatological peak of the dry season in Metro Manila, when intense solar radiation, minimal cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect at stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport routinely push daily maxima to 33–35°C. Subtle differences in steering patterns or afternoon humidity could shift readings by 1–2°C either way, while any late increase in convective activity would favor the lower 33°C bin. Resolution depends on official PAGASA maximum temperature readings tomorrow, leaving traders focused on the final model runs and observed conditions through peak afternoon hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on May 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 18?
34°C 38%
35°C 31%
33°C 24%
36°C 9.5%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
24%
34°C
38%
35°C
31%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 31%
33°C 24%
36°C 9.5%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
$1,006 KL.
<1%
30°C
$108 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,083 KL.
1%
32°C
$928 KL.
4%
33°C
$701 KL.
24%
34°C
$420 KL.
38%
35°C
$255 KL.
31%
36°C
$941 KL.
10%
37°C
$343 KL.
2%
38°C
$338 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$299 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture, aligning with the near-even trader split between those two outcomes. May marks the climatological peak of the dry season in Metro Manila, when intense solar radiation, minimal cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect at stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport routinely push daily maxima to 33–35°C. Subtle differences in steering patterns or afternoon humidity could shift readings by 1–2°C either way, while any late increase in convective activity would favor the lower 33°C bin. Resolution depends on official PAGASA maximum temperature readings tomorrow, leaving traders focused on the final model runs and observed conditions through peak afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,398Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture, aligning with the near-even trader split between those two outcomes. May marks the climatological peak of the dry season in Metro Manila, when intense solar radiation, minimal cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect at stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport routinely push daily maxima to 33–35°C. Subtle differences in steering patterns or afternoon humidity could shift readings by 1–2°C either way, while any late increase in convective activity would favor the lower 33°C bin. Resolution depends on official PAGASA maximum temperature readings tomorrow, leaving traders focused on the final model runs and observed conditions through peak afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$6,398Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent PAGASA forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture, aligning with the near-even trader split between those two outcomes. May marks the climatological peak of the dry season in Metro Manila, when intense solar radiation, minimal cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect at stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport routinely push daily maxima to 33–35°C. Subtle differences in steering patterns or afternoon humidity could shift readings by 1–2°C either way, while any late increase in convective activity would favor the lower 33°C bin. Resolution depends on official PAGASA maximum temperature readings tomorrow, leaving traders focused on the final model runs and observed conditions through peak afternoon hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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