Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on May 18?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 18?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 16%
90-91°F 7%
MỚI
$10,347 KL.
MỚI
$10,347 KL.
May 18, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 16%
90-91°F 7%
MỚI
$10,347 KL.
MỚI
$10,347 KL.
May 18, 2026
77°F or below
$728 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$944 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$608 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,073 KL.
2%
84-85°F
$871 KL.
16%
86-87°F
$741 KL.
44%
88-89°F
$922 KL.
34%
90-91°F
$1,433 KL.
7%
92-93°F
$1,216 KL.
1%
94-95°F
$901 KL.
1%
96°F or higher
$908 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,347Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$10,347Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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