Forecast models from the National Weather Service show a broad high-pressure ridge over Florida supporting daytime highs in Miami near 86-89°F on May 19, with ensemble guidance from NOAA indicating limited afternoon convection and moderate Atlantic moisture limiting further warming. This consensus drives the close market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins, as small shifts in sea-breeze timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the peak either way. Typical May climatology places average highs around 85-87°F, and recent model runs reveal minimal spread in maximum temperature forecasts through the weekend. Updated National Weather Service briefings and fresh ensemble outputs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on May 19?
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 11%
90-91°F 10%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 11%
90-91°F 10%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAForecast models from the National Weather Service show a broad high-pressure ridge over Florida supporting daytime highs in Miami near 86-89°F on May 19, with ensemble guidance from NOAA indicating limited afternoon convection and moderate Atlantic moisture limiting further warming. This consensus drives the close market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins, as small shifts in sea-breeze timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the peak either way. Typical May climatology places average highs around 85-87°F, and recent model runs reveal minimal spread in maximum temperature forecasts through the weekend. Updated National Weather Service briefings and fresh ensemble outputs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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