National Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds in the 86–89°F bins. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies is driving afternoon heating, though minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum temperature create the close spread between those leading outcomes. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in convective development and surface energy balance for a spring day when historical averages sit near 70°F. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in observational data ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 18.9%
84-85°F 11%
$51,231 KL.
$51,231 KL.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 18.9%
84-85°F 11%
$51,231 KL.
$51,231 KL.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$9,189 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$6,488 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,755 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$4,980 KL.
11%
86-87°F
$5,637 KL.
32%
88-89°F
$3,305 KL.
38%
90-91°F
$3,771 KL.
19%
92-93°F
$2,971 KL.
2%
94-95°F
$3,643 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,527 KL.
<1%
98°F or higher
$3,038 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds in the 86–89°F bins. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies is driving afternoon heating, though minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum temperature create the close spread between those leading outcomes. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in convective development and surface energy balance for a spring day when historical averages sit near 70°F. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in observational data ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51,231Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds in the 86–89°F bins. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies is driving afternoon heating, though minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum temperature create the close spread between those leading outcomes. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in convective development and surface energy balance for a spring day when historical averages sit near 70°F. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in observational data ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$51,231Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNational Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds in the 86–89°F bins. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies is driving afternoon heating, though minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum temperature create the close spread between those leading outcomes. This reflects inherent model uncertainty in convective development and surface energy balance for a spring day when historical averages sit near 70°F. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in observational data ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp