Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 84%
17°C 16%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
$94,766 KL.
$94,766 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
84%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 84%
17°C 16%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
$94,766 KL.
$94,766 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 KL.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 KL.
<1%
13°C
$7,596 KL.
<1%
14°C
$16,009 KL.
<1%
15°C
$12,139 KL.
<1%
16°C
$14,346 KL.
84%
17°C
$12,676 KL.
16%
18°C
$10,611 KL.
1%
19°C
$12,430 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$4,913 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$94,766Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$94,766Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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