National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport on May 17 position the daytime high near the climatological normal of 68°F, driving the 82.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. Coastal marine influences and typical May onshore flow keep temperatures moderated, with recent model consensus showing limited warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Historical data place May averages at this threshold, while ongoing observations through the day will confirm whether slight deviations from baseline conditions push the peak into the leading outcome range or hold it closer to adjacent bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 13%
64-65°F 1.9%
49°F or below <1%
$20,671 KL.
$20,671 KL.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
13%
68°F or higher
84%
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 13%
64-65°F 1.9%
49°F or below <1%
$20,671 KL.
$20,671 KL.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$894 KL.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,542 KL.
<1%
52-53°F
$555 KL.
<1%
54-55°F
$608 KL.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,452 KL.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,454 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,622 KL.
2%
66-67°F
$2,284 KL.
13%
68°F or higher
$2,116 KL.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport on May 17 position the daytime high near the climatological normal of 68°F, driving the 82.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. Coastal marine influences and typical May onshore flow keep temperatures moderated, with recent model consensus showing limited warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Historical data place May averages at this threshold, while ongoing observations through the day will confirm whether slight deviations from baseline conditions push the peak into the leading outcome range or hold it closer to adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,671Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport on May 17 position the daytime high near the climatological normal of 68°F, driving the 82.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. Coastal marine influences and typical May onshore flow keep temperatures moderated, with recent model consensus showing limited warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Historical data place May averages at this threshold, while ongoing observations through the day will confirm whether slight deviations from baseline conditions push the peak into the leading outcome range or hold it closer to adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$20,671Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport on May 17 position the daytime high near the climatological normal of 68°F, driving the 82.5% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. Coastal marine influences and typical May onshore flow keep temperatures moderated, with recent model consensus showing limited warming potential from clear skies and light winds. Historical data place May averages at this threshold, while ongoing observations through the day will confirm whether slight deviations from baseline conditions push the peak into the leading outcome range or hold it closer to adjacent bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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